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Euros to Pounds Forex Trading Analysis 22 Sep 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Tuesday, September 22nd, 2009

Forex Trading Analysis:  Euros to Pounds

A very quiet day for the euros to pounds pair yesterday, and with virtually no fundamental news on the economic calendar either in Europe or in the UK, the pair drifted in the markets, not helped by the three day holiday in the Far East, which added to the thin trading volumes. As a result the euros to pounds pair pushed only marginally higher, ending the trading session with a narrow spread up bar and a small wick to the upside, with some currency traders taking the opportunity to bank some profits following the sharp rally of the last few days. Havong  broken above the first deep resistance area in the o.88 to 0.90 price region, we can now concentrate on the next level which now awaits in the 0.92 to 0.9450 region, and with a solid platform now established below, we should see a run at this level in the next few days, although this could present a stubborn obstacle. With all three moving averages pointing sharply higher, and with ‘clear water’ now between yesterday’s close and the resistance above, then the next few days should be positive for the euros to pounds bulls, particularly with the Sterling suffering in the forex markets at present as once again it comes under pressure from the fundamental news.  Technically we now have a clearly defined double bottom on the euros to pounds chart, which should set the pattern for the next few weeks as the pair consolidate and push higher, possible to re-test the 0.9450 price level in due course. Whether parity is still possible, only time will tell!


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Euros To Pounds – Currency Chart 21st September 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Sunday, September 20th, 2009

Forex Chart Analysis – Euros to Pounds

The euros to pounds currency pair, ended a strong trading week with yet another wide spread up bar, which provided the icing on the cake for euros to pounds bulls, and perhaps more significantly having breached the strong resistance level channel between the 0.8750 and 0.8950 price region. With this level having been breached, and with all three moving averages pointing sharply higher, we should now see a continuation of this upwards trend in the short term, supported by the platform of prices below, which should provide protection from any short term reversal lower which may come as currency traders bank some profits as the markets takes a breather on Monday.

With very little fundamental news on the economic calendar, either in the UK or in Europe, we may see a relatively quiet trading day, with the euros to pounds pair moving sideways as a result, before that news flow gets underway on Tuesday once again. Monday’s news is limited to some minor housing data, and a BOE quarterly bulletin, which should contain little in the way of surprises for the currency markets, so in summary, a quiet day, with the bullish trend set to continue later in the week with a target of 0.92 now clearly in sight for the euros to pounds pair.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Euro GBP – Forex Analysis For The EUR/GBP 13th September 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Sunday, September 13th, 2009

Forex Technical Analysis

The euros to pounds forex pair continue to trade sideways following the mini-rally from the lows of early August, with the rise having stalled in the 0.8850 region, which came as no surprise as this is the start of a deep and wide resistance area which will take significant momentum to penetrate. At the moment the market seems unable to probe this region, and to date we have seen five failed attempts to push higher, with Thursday’s wide spread down bar failing once again, and ending the trading session below both the 9 day and 14 day moving averages. However for the euro gbp bulls, Friday’s candle provided a positive signal as the market failed to fall further, ending with a narrow spread down bar with a small lower wick, suggesting that we may see an attempt to rally early this week.  This is counterbalanced by the crossing of the 9 day and 14 day moving averages which are providing a bearish cross signal, so in summary a confusing picture at present. In short, we need to see prices break well into the resistance for any move higher to be sustained, and should they fail to make any progress, then we could see a deeper fall once again back to the initial support level on the daily chart in the 0.8650 region.

Fundamental Forex Analysis

On odd day for fundamental news on the economic calendar with no news in the UK, and with very little in Europe, which I have covered for you in more detail on the euro vs dollar site.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Euros To Pounds – Daily Forex Analysis 7th September 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Monday, September 7th, 2009

A mixed week for the euros to pounds forex pair, ended with a bearish flavour, following Wednesday and Thursday’s down candles, with a final much smaller down candle on Friday. Indeed Friday’s candle ended as a small doji, with the close finding some support from the 14 day moving average, suggesting that the recent reversal lower may now be over, and that we could see a resumption of the rally in due course, with a further attempt to breach the stiff resistance now in place immediately ahead at the 0.8850 region and above. For a sustained move higher we have to see this pierced and then broken for any further upward move, and this may prove to be too much for the pair at present. If this is the case then we could see a period of consolidation in the 0.8850 to 0.8450 price region which may well present several swing trading opportunities as prices move back and forth in this region.

The week starts quietly for fundamental news on the economic calendar, with only two items in Europe and one in the UK, and with the US and Canadian markets closed today for Labor Day, forex markets will generally be quiet. I have covered the fundamental news items in more detail on the relevant sites with the euro trading news and the UK news.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Euros To Pounds – Daily Forex Anlaysis 4th September 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Friday, September 4th, 2009

Forex Technical Analysis

The euros to pounds pair seem to have found the resistance level at o.885 a bridge too far in the recent rally higher, and following four consecutive attempts to breach this level, subsequently reversed lower earlier in the week, a move that was repeated yesterday with a relatively wide spread down bar, which closed below the 9 day moving average, but just above the 14 day average. With a strong support level now in place below at the 0.8650 price region, we may see the currency pair oscillate in a relatively tight trading range until one or other of these levels is broken, with a move higher signalled by a breach of the o.8850 and a move lower by penetration of the 0.8650. If either of these levels is broken then this should signal the start of a fresh longer term trend for the pair as we head towards the end of another forex trading year.

Fundamental Forex Analysis

There is really only one item of fundamental news on the economic calendar as we head into the weekend and that is the latest round of G20 meetings, this time being held in London. The focus of attention this time will be how to boost ailing economies around the world, and whilst there is expected to be a consensus over continuing to spend, there is some disagreement over the pace of spending and when to scale down stimulus efforts and packages. In addition a European proposal to curb bankers’ bonuses may face opposition from the US. It seems unlikely that we will see any dramatic statements which will excite the markets, and if the last meeting is any guide, the whole event will be the usual damp squib, with markets opening up on Tuesday again once the US and Canada have celebrated their Labor Day National Holiday.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Daily Forex Analysis – Forex Chart Euros To Pounds 31st August 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Monday, August 31st, 2009

Forex Technical Analysis

Following seven straight gains on the euros to pounds pair, it was no great surprise on Friday to the forex markets to see the UK pound fight back a little as forex traders squared their positions ahead of the long weekend in the UK, and took some profits off the table. As a result the euro gbp pair closed the trading session with a wide spread down bar, but one which failed to engulf the previous candle of Thursday, suggesting that this was simply the market taking a breather, before moving on higher, rather than any longer term change in sentiment for the fx pair. However, before we assume that this rally will simply continue unimpeded, we are now entering a deep level of congestion which could provide a significant and impenetrable barrier to further progress higher. In simple terms for the move to continue we now need to see a strong move to breach this resistance, and break out to the top side, which would then provide a solid platform for a continuation from the 0.9100 region and beyond. However should the move run into problems, then we may see a correction and pullback as a result. With the UK markets closed on Monday for a national holiday, and with general thin trading volumes, we may have to wait for later in the week to see any meaningful price action unfold.

Fundamental Forex Analysis

As outlined above the UK forex market is closed on Monday so there is no UK fundamental news on the economic calendar, and the only news in Europe is relatively insignificant and covered in more detail on the euro vs dollar site.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Forex Analysis – Euro GBP Forex Market Analysis 27th August 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Friday, August 28th, 2009

Forex Technical Analysis

The euros to pounds pair pushed higher once again yesterday, ending the trading session with a wide spread up bar, with the closing price deep into the strong resistance area between 0.8750 and 0.9050 price band,  making this the seventh straight day of gains for the currency pair. However the resistance outlined above is significant and therefore it will not be a great surprise, given the fact that we are now approaching the weekend, to see a minor pullback today, as forex traders square positions ahead of the weekend and take their profits off the table. For the upwards momentum to be sustained we need to see a break and hold above the upper boundary in the 0.9050 region, and should this occur next week then we could see a move towards the next level at 0.9200.

Fundamental Forex Analysis

The key fundamental news item on the economic calendar for the euros to pounds pair for today is the Revised GDP data, due in the UK this morning, with a forecast of -0.8%, the same as for last time. This is the second release of the same data set ( three releases all together ) of which the Preliminary has the most impact as it is the first, followed by the Revised and then the final. Nevertheless, the news will have some impact this morning and should the actual be better than forecast then this could be good for the UK pound. The only other minor items are Index of Services and for the UK and Consumer Confidence in Europe ( yet more sentiment numbers if we didn’t have enough already!!), and further details are available in the economic calendar.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Daily Forex Analysis – Euro Gbp 26th August 200

By admin · Comments (0)
Wednesday, August 26th, 2009

Forex Technical Analysis

As the euros to pounds pair continues to move away from the recent double bottom formation in the 0.845- region, the strong rebound of the last few days may now be coming to a close as we begin to aproach the strong resistance directly ahead, with the first of these clearly defined at 0.88. Indeed in trading today it appears as thought the pair may have already run into this barrier which appears to be preventing a further rise in the currency pair, and should the candle end the trading session with a deep upper shadow as seems likely, then this could signal a short term reversal lower towards the end of the week. This level is now key, as it defines the start of the deep resistance which spreads over 300 pips, and if we are to see the pair reclaim the 0.90 price handle and above, then we will need to see a break and hold above this solid region of price action in due course. If this does occur, then we may well see a re-test of the 0.93 region in due course, but this will require a concerted effort from the market, and judging from today’s price action, it may be that the market has simply run out of steam, and hence we may have to wait for September to arrive and a fresh injection of trading volumes and momentum to drive the euros to pounds pair higher once again.

Fundamental Forex Analysis

With no fundamental news on the economic calendar in the UK today, the German IFO business climate figures provided the main focus of attention, coming in at 90.50 against a forecast of 89.10 indicating that German business confidence rose for a fifth month in August, suggesting Europe’s largest economy will gather strength after shaking off its worst recession since World War II.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Forex Trading Analysis – Euro Gbp 25th August 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Monday, August 24th, 2009

Forex Technical Anlaysis

Following Friday’s breakout on the daily candle chart, with the strong move above the resistance at 0.8650, yesterday’s forex technical analysis suggested we would see a continuation of the move, and indeed to date this has been the pattern in the current trading session today, with the euro gbp pair moving strongly higher once again. With all three moving averages now providing good support to the move higher, and with the strong platform of support below, we should see this pattern continue during the remainder of the week, with our initial target being 0.8800 where we begin to see some minor resistance which could impede progress. However, should we see this level penetrated then we may see a re-test of the 0.9000 price handle once again, as the euro gbp recovers from the lows of the last few weeks. Technically the pair are now looking strong once again and my trading suggestion for tomorrow is the same as for today – small long positions intra day with small profit targets and with a stop loss below the support region outlined above.

Fundamental Forex Analysis

At last we have some fundamental news in both Europe and the UK following today’s quiet start to the week with the first numbers coming from Europe with the German Final GDP data set, a minor news item as these figures are already in the public domain having been released 10 days earlier as the Preliminary GDP – a much more significant fundamental news items and one which surprised the market with a growth figure, which many analysts ( and indeed the markets ) viewed with some scepticism. The forecast for tomorrow is for 0.3%, the same as for last time. This is followed in the UK by the Nationwide HPI release which will give further insight into the state of the UK housing market which is forecast to show a fall from last months 1.3% to tomorrow’s 0.6% – not a great surprise given that we are in the depths of the summer holiday season, and is followed almost immediately by the BBA Mortgage approvals – so a double snapshot of the market. Approvals are forecast to show a slight rise from last time at 37.90 from 35.20 last time – a modest improvement ( but very small). The final piece of news for fundamental forex analysis is the NBB business which is released in Belgium – another composite index which is expected to show a slow improvement from last months -22.8 to this month’s -19.70.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Daily Forex Analysis – Forex Trading Analysis EUR/GBP 18th August 2009

By admin · Comments (2)
Tuesday, August 18th, 2009

Forex Technical Analysis

Today’s wide spread down bar on the euro to pounds chart set us well on the way to our 200 pip target from this morning’s open as outlined in yesterday’s forex market analysis for this pair.  The down candle carried both weight and momentum blasting its way through all three moving averages and simultaneously breaching the strong support level created during July’s period of consolidation.  Our short term target for this pair remains the interim support level at 0.8450 which, given today’s price action, may well be achieved in tomorrow’s trading.  In addition today’s candle has also given us a bearish engulfing signal which I hope will be validated in tomorrow forex trading.  However, for longer term position traders I would advocate a degree of caution as the 0.8450 support level may come into play once again acting as a support to any further downwards move, and we could see a repeat of the reversals of mid June and late July.  However, should this level subsequently crumble, then we may see an even deeper move to re-test the 0.80 price point once again.

Forex Fundamental Analysis

The fundamental news for this pair starts early tomorrow with the German PPI data which is forecast at -0.1%, the same as for last month, with the figures representing the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers and therefore a good indication of consumer inflation.  This is followed by the European current account which represents the difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows and transfers during the prior month.  The forecast for tomorrow is -1.7bn against a previous of -1.2bn.  The focus then shifts to the UK where we have two items, the first of which is the minutes from the recent MPC meeting which provides a breakdown of the voting pattern for the last interest rate decision and these are expected at 0-0-9.  The first is how many voted to increase rates, the second the number of people voting for a rate reduction and the third is those who voted to keep rates on hold.   Any deviation will cause a surprise to the market.  The final piece of news is the CBI Industrial Orders expectation, yet another diffusion index this time based on a survey of over 500 manufacturers who are asked to rate their orders volumes for the forthcoming quarter.  The forecast for tomorrow is -50 with last month’s figure being -59, a long way from zero which would indicate a market experiencing increasing demand.

My trading suggestion for tomorrow is to wait for the release of the MPC minutes before entering any trades. You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.


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Categories : Euros to Pounds Daily Chart
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  • Aussie dollar hits five-month high February 2, 2012
    Currency bounces after data shows Australia’s trade surplus rises to a record high in 2011 while Swiss franc loses some of its recent strength […]
  • ‘Too early’ to spot gaps in global regulation February 2, 2012
    Increasing concern differences in the way G20 reforms on derivatives are being fleshed out by region could lead to ‘regulatory arbitrage’ […]
  • SNB head warns of political fallout after crisis February 2, 2012
    Thomas Jordan, acting chairman, says bank has come under domestic political pressure over the potential cost of further interventions […]
  • Jordan vow to continue SNB intervention February 2, 2012
    Thomas Jordan, acting head of Swiss National Bank and thrust into the limelight after his boss’s swift departure, promises to continue radical policies […]
  • China’s capital flight looks ready for take-off February 2, 2012
    As sentiment toward the renminbi sours and the political outlook is more uncertain, Henny Sender predicts more money will leave the mainland […]
  • Traders on alert for Swiss intervention February 2, 2012
    Franc reaches its strongest level against the euro in almost five months, putting it near the level at which the SNB has previously taken action […]
  • Production data boost stocks February 1, 2012
    Risk assets are firmer on better than expected manufacturing data from China, Germany, the UK and US, but concerns about America resurface […]

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